Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Davis
Big West
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#235
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#252
Pace65.5#291
Improvement+0.5#160

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#330
First Shot-6.1#316
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#300
Layup/Dunks-4.0#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#320
Freethrows-3.1#335
Improvement-3.4#312

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#84
First Shot+3.6#68
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#202
Layups/Dunks+1.1#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#179
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#121
Freethrows+1.3#82
Improvement+3.9#19
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 158   North Dakota St. L 71-79 OT 42%     0 - 1 -10.5 -7.5 -2.3
  Nov 15, 2015 203   Portland W 79-66 55%     1 - 1 +7.3 -7.1 +13.0
  Nov 24, 2015 278   @ Sacramento St. L 79-84 50%     1 - 2 -9.6 +1.9 -11.4
  Nov 28, 2015 282   @ Utah Valley W 82-70 52%     2 - 2 +7.0 +3.2 +3.4
  Dec 02, 2015 278   Sacramento St. W 66-61 72%     3 - 2 -5.5 -10.2 +4.8
  Dec 04, 2015 39   @ St. Mary's L 67-81 5%     3 - 3 -0.1 -1.6 +1.3
  Dec 15, 2015 263   @ San Diego L 55-61 46%     3 - 4 -9.4 -12.7 +3.1
  Dec 19, 2015 237   Air Force L 60-67 62%     3 - 5 -14.5 -13.9 -0.8
  Dec 22, 2015 217   Idaho L 51-68 57%     3 - 6 -23.3 -19.4 -5.1
  Dec 28, 2015 292   @ Seattle L 75-80 OT 55%     3 - 7 -10.7 -5.0 -5.2
  Dec 30, 2015 94   @ Boise St. L 56-64 11%     3 - 8 +0.8 -10.3 +10.8
  Jan 07, 2016 98   @ UC Irvine L 55-76 12%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -12.5 -10.6 -2.4
  Jan 09, 2016 108   @ Long Beach St. L 47-59 14%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -4.8 -18.7 +13.1
  Jan 14, 2016 238   Cal St. Northridge W 63-62 62%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -6.5 -7.4 +0.9
  Jan 21, 2016 234   UC Riverside W 58-55 61%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -4.3 -12.3 +8.3
  Jan 23, 2016 68   @ Hawaii L 62-78 8%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -4.9 +4.6 -11.8
  Jan 27, 2016 268   Cal St. Fullerton W 69-64 68%     6 - 11 3 - 3 -4.4 -6.9 +2.7
  Jan 30, 2016 204   Cal Poly W 66-52 55%     7 - 11 4 - 3 +8.3 -0.5 +11.3
  Feb 04, 2016 268   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 57-61 47%     7 - 12 4 - 4 -7.6 -19.6 +12.0
  Feb 06, 2016 234   @ UC Riverside W 50-49 38%     8 - 12 5 - 4 -0.4 -18.5 +18.1
  Feb 11, 2016 104   UC Santa Barbara L 66-72 27%     8 - 13 5 - 5 -4.0 +1.2 -5.7
  Feb 13, 2016 108   Long Beach St. L 48-57 29%     8 - 14 5 - 6 -7.6 -24.6 +17.1
  Feb 18, 2016 204   @ Cal Poly L 53-58 33%     8 - 15 5 - 7 -4.9 -15.1 +9.5
  Feb 20, 2016 104   @ UC Santa Barbara L 55-62 13%     8 - 16 5 - 8 +0.9 -12.8 +13.7
  Feb 27, 2016 98   UC Irvine L 61-62 25%     8 - 17 5 - 9 +1.7 -6.2 +7.8
  Mar 03, 2016 68   Hawaii L 65-67 18%     8 - 18 5 - 10 +3.2 -2.2 +5.4
  Mar 05, 2016 238   @ Cal St. Northridge W 87-83 3OT 39%     9 - 18 6 - 10 +2.3 -8.3 +9.6
  Mar 10, 2016 104   UC Santa Barbara L 61-87 19%     9 - 19 -21.1 -6.1 -15.8
Projected Record 9.0 - 19.0 6.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%